Working Papers

Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability, with Lucrezia Reichlin and Giovanni Ricco
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14322, January 2020

Nowcasting German GDP, with Paolo Andreini, Lucrezia Reichlin, Charlotte Senftleben-König, and Till Strohsal
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14323, January 2020


Published Papers

A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation, with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
Accepted at The Review of Economics and Statistics [Online Appendix, Code]

When is Growth at Risk?, with Mikkel Plagborg-Møller, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring 2020 [Online Appendix]


Easy Reading

The inflation puzzle in the euro area – it’s the trend not the cycle!, with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
VoxEU, October 2019

Low inflation for longer, with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
VoxEU, January 2018

The US sneezes and the Eurozone catches a cold, with Alberto Caruso, Filippo Pellegrino, and Lucrezia Reichlin
VoxEU, February 2016